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Trading Guide

A four-step trading framework uses the Alligator indicator, MACD, volume, and RSI together to evaluate trend direction, momentum strength, trader participation, and market exhaustion before entering a trade. At least three of the four indicators must align for a trade to be considered valid.

Exit targets are placed near structural levels such as prior support and resistance, swing highs or lows, the blue Alligator line, or Fibonacci levels. An additional rule discourages holding trades over the weekend unless the risk is clearly justified.

My H4 / D1 Trading Blueprint

Step 1 – Trend (Alligator)

Question: What is the market doing?

Buy

  • Price above the blue Alligator line.
  • Green > Red > Blue.
  • Alligator mouth opening upward.

Sell

  • Price below the blue line.
  • Green < Red < Blue.
  • Alligator mouth opening downward.

Avoid

  • Alligator sleeping (lines intertwined).
  • Market moving sideways.

Decision: Never fight the main trend unless you know you’re taking a counter-trend trade.


Step 2 – Momentum (MACD)

Question: Is the current move gaining or losing strength?

Bullish

  • Histogram becoming less negative.
  • MACD crosses upward.
  • Above zero = stronger bullish trend.

Bearish

  • Histogram becoming more negative.
  • MACD crosses downward.
  • Below zero = stronger bearish trend.

Decision: MACD doesn’t tell you when to buy. It tells you whether the move has energy.


Step 3 – Participation (Volume)

Question: Who is supporting this move?

Bullish

  • Price rises.
  • Tick Volume increases.

Buyers are participating.

Bearish

  • Price falls.
  • Tick Volume increases.

Sellers are participating.

Warning

Price rises but volume falls.

Maybe only a weak bounce.

Price falls but volume falls.

Maybe sellers are getting tired.

Decision: Volume tells you whether the market believes the move.


Step 4 – Market Condition (RSI)

Question: Is the market stretched?

RSI above 70

Be careful buying.

RSI below 30

Be careful selling.

RSI around 40–60

Usually enough room for the trend to continue.

Decision: RSI is not an entry signal. It tells you if you’re chasing an exhausted move.


Final Decision

Now combine everything.

IndicatorAsk Yourself
AlligatorWhat is the trend?
MACDDoes the move have momentum?
VolumeAre traders participating?
RSIIs the market already exhausted?

My Rule

I wouldn’t trade unless at least 3 out of 4 agree.

Example:

✅ Alligator bullish

✅ MACD bullish

✅ Volume increasing

❌ RSI slightly high

Still acceptable, but still risky


Another example.

❌ Alligator bearish

✅ MACD bullish

❌ Volume weak

❌ RSI overbought

Stay out.


My Exit Strategy

This is something I learnt from you during today’s discussion.

Instead of TP based on pips…

TP should be near:

  • Previous Support / Resistance
  • Previous Swing High / Low
  • Blue Alligator line
  • Fibonacci level

Then ask:

Can price realistically reach there?

If yes…

Take profit there.


Weekend Rule

Friday evening…

Ask one question.

Is this trade worth holding for two days when I cannot control the market?

If NO…

Take the profit.

Sleep peacefully.


Golden Rule

The four indicators work like a team.

Alligator
↓
Trend

MACD
↓
Momentum

Volume
↓
Participation

RSI
↓
Market Condition

No single indicator makes the decision.

The decision comes when they agree.


  1. Price Structure (support/resistance) – Where is price likely to react?
  2. Alligator – What is the trend?
  3. Volume – Are traders supporting the move?
  4. MACD – Is momentum increasing or fading?
  5. RSI – Am I chasing an exhausted move?

I actually wouldn’t change this blueprint for a while….


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